What I feel while tracking FSD’s success rate on the same course is
Let’s look at the results of each day and not be happy and sad.
When I recently focused on the success rate of FSD’s same course, I thought like this. Whenever the FSD was updated, I wondered if we were too sensitive to the initial mistakes. Out of 10,000 attempts, mistakes can come out first, in the middle, or at the end. I think we are rushing to hope that everything will be resolved without our knowledge. Obviously, if the same version initially looks like a 50% success rate on the same course, but later shows a 95% success rate or more, that version of FSD logic was born with a 95% success rate. We have to find it and realize it. Only then will we have confidence and belief in the future of autonomous driving.
Tesla’s stock seems to be the same. We just need to track and confirm whether the company is silently moving forward with the mid- to long-term goals it is talking about, and whether the probability of achieving those goals is increasing. Then at some point, the stock will be up there. Let’s not be inconsistent with the stock price of today, year, or just a few years.
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