I bet on Friday’s bad U.S. miscellaneous data, but even if the data is good, the U.S. market has risen and ended, so I think it should be called lucky. Still, it would be reasonable to say that the FED’s chances of rushing to cut interest rates are gradually decreasing as the market continues to be burdened by inflation and the economy continues to be strong even if interest rates are high.
When the announcement of the rate hike was announced in 2015, the chapter responded on its own in 2016, but in the end, the only thing that was raised once was in December. I feel that there is no law that does not repeat the same thing. There were a lot of people who predicted six rate cuts last year, but three times earlier this year, two times last month, and one time, and there are even opinions that they will not cut it at all. The key will be the situation in the Middle East and the strength of the job market.
There are many important events on the 10th of this week. The general election, the U.S.-Japan summit, and the announcement of the minutes of the U.S. CPI and FOMC will take place on Thursday ahead of the expiration of options in April, so I think we need to plan well for Tuesday. It’s a big event for options makers. Anyway, it’s hard to expect a big change in the market today since we have two days off after trading. Still, who knows…
It’s spring. Cherry blossoms are in full bloom in spring, but the U.S. has planted a lot of tulips here and there, so they are in full bloom. Anyway, it was nice to see cherry blossoms on the weekend unintentionally. I think we need to clean up for spring on Election Day. Good luck to you all this week…
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