Call Options Place Various Put Options… Tesla Is Difficult
Figure 1. I analyzed the situation at Tesla on July 30 in a number of ways and the negative part of it was options, charts, and macros that eventually started to burst.
Figure 2. Yesterday’s PMI indicators showed that Japan’s rate hike also changed the situation in an instant with the flow of the Ncaritrade.
The $220 put option has gone up significantly,
1.89K (yesterday) —> 3.21K (present)
This trend has resulted in a significant reduction in $235 call options.
3.86K (Yesterday) —> 564 (Current)
The $220 put option will serve as a support line, so $220 must be held out without breaking through. But at the same time, the $215 put option has also gone up significantly, so I wonder if I’ll keep $220.
Figure 3. A few days ago, we analyzed RISK when YEN CARRY TRADE became UNWIND.
I’ve had zero interest rates so far, so I borrowed YEN very cheaply, and I used that money to buy U.S. stock growth stocks, and for that reason
If you overlap the chart of the dollar/yen with the chart of the QQQ/IWM, you can see that it was very similar.
It was zero interest rate, so the yen weakened, so the dollar/yen chart went up, and with that money
QQQ is an accident and IWM is not bought, so QQQ/IWM is going up.
If you look at the chart of the dollar/yen now, you can see that the dollar/yen is tumbling as Japan raises interest rates. (Because the denominator gets stronger)
Figure 4. And if you look at the companies’ second quarter performance, you can see that the surprise figure is much lower than in other quarters. In other words, companies’ performance is not strong, but weak overall. This affects the index, and the flow of the index affects Tesla, including QQQ.
Figure 5
Tesla is down about 6.55% yesterday, making it more likely to go back to testing the $210 support line.
In this case, it’s actually best to do nothing. You have to do no response, and you have to buy in installments according to principle, and I think that’s when the criteria are met by the intersection of the following criteria.
1) Velocity
2) Charts
3) Status of supply and demand
4) macros
In the case of Tesla, I don’t think it’s too late to leave it alone in this case and respond later if a good moment comes.
I’ll give you an update right away if Tesla comes to an attractive stage, especially from a belational point of view.
[Tesla Research Archives]
naver.me/G58uCjDh