A Log Chart Of Tesla Stock’s 14-Year History.
As you know, going from $1 to $10 is a tenfold increase, but if you look at the $100 versus the stock price, it’s a difference of only nine dollars,
A chart that shows the difference as a ratio difference is a log chart.
There are two major periods of elevation.
The first is in 2013, and the second is in 2020.
A surge in both earning high returns around 10 times.
And what they both have in common: The existence of a performance that broke the market’s expectations
1st surge)
Tesla Motors was founded in 2008 and a year after the start of the company, Musk participated as an investor, and as soon as he participated, he participated in the production of Tesla cars as an engineer, unlike a simple profit-oriented equity investor.
We saw a surplus for the first time in 13 years after a 10-year IPO.
The difference between the 13 years was that the only achievement was the Model S, but the electric car went from failing to being able to make a profit from the electric car.
After about a year of continuous surplus,
The net profit black-reduction period is repeated for about three to four years.
In the meantime, there must have been rumors such as a small goal was a big drop at the time, and a problem of performance Numbus.
2nd surge)
The 19.4Q surge was attributed to the 19.3Q results from the operation of Giga Shanghai, since then, the net profit surplus has started without fail.
EPS minus to zero to a dollar means a dramatic improvement in the P/E ratio. On top of that, the release of the Cybertruck, the launch of the Model Y (starting production and sales), has given it more wings.
3rd surge)
Listed->First surge: 3 years
1st Surge -> 2nd Surge: 6 years
2nd Surprise -> 3rd Surprise: Year
Tesla, unlike other stable businesses,
With the so-called ‘innovation’, we run a business where a big shot suddenly comes.
Therefore, there are as many supporters (short) as the “innovation” hit,
There is also a difficult period (21 years to present) where you don’t know when it will come.
On top of that, it’s been a bad time for Tesla, which has been selling used or higher vehicles since the 21 year inflation has raised interest rates.
Looking back, we make a car that goes 500km with electricity,
Driving a new application as a vehicle (as of the 2010s) was an innovation led by Tesla in the 2010s.
Now, there is a model 3 that cuts Seoul-Busan at once, so it seems natural,
Pre-Tesla electric cars were a golf cart or a minor going around 100km, never a corner of a major.
The third surge will result from innovation that will make the unexpected natural, and it will have the power to increase Tesla’s market cap by 10 times again. Either the FSD-Robotaxi or Optimus is enough. However, you’ll still have to wait three more years until that point. Right now, the goal should be to sell well, produce good financial results, and recover small concentrations.