Elon Musk: 30 prophecies that penetrate the future


⚡ Elon Musk: 30 prophecies that penetrate the future

  • The End of White Collar: White Collar Jobs Will Be Gone Soon.
  • Crisis in the Doctor’s Job: Don’t Be a Doctor Within 3 years, a humanoid (Optimus) will be better at surgery than the world’s best surgeon.
  • Savings uselessness: Don’t save for the future. You don’t need to save because the universal high income era is here.
  • The unpredictable future: the future after this is unknown to me. It’s like no one knows beyond the event horizon.
  • Fusion is unnecessary: Don’t research fusion power. Why do you make another fusion reactor on Earth when there is a huge fusion reactor called the Sun? It’s like running an ice maker in Antarctica.
  • Man’s Last feat: designing AI circuits is not easy yet, and rocket engines are also made by humans. Starship will probably be the last great creation made by humans.
  • The only constraint: the bottleneck of power generation is only semiconductors (chips) and metals (power grids).
  • Build your own Fab: Tesla will build its own semiconductor factory (Fab). I understand TSMC is concerned about overinvestment, but bottlenecks are inevitable after all.
  • Space Resources Mining: Most asteroids in the solar system will be mined and destined to be turned into solar panels.
  • UFO Absence: As far as I know, there is no UFO on Earth. I’ll put it on X as soon as I find out. I’ve put 9,000 satellites in orbit, but I’ve never had to avoid spacecraft.
  • Lives Longer: I don’t know if human life expectancy will double in the next 10 years, but it will increase significantly.
  • Immortal Age: Your children will have unlimited life expectancy. Long life and semi (準)immortality are not technically that difficult.
  • Loss of Meaning: Universal High Income and Social Anxiety will coexist. You’ll get everything you want, so your job won’t matter anymore.
  • The Replacement of Healthcare: All cosmetic surgeons, as well as surgeons, will be replaced by robots.
  • AGI and Superintelligence: Reaching AGI in 2026, I’m sure AI will outperform the sum of all human intelligence by 2030.
  • Acceleratorism: I advised you to slow down the development of AI, but it was pointless. If you can’t stop, I jumped in myself to develop in a good direction.
  • Truthful AI: Don’t make AI crazy. HAL in the movie ‘2001 Space Odyssey’ became miserable because of human lies. Humanity is safe only when AI is taught truth, curiosity, and beauty.
  • Competition of Diverse Superintelligence: No Single Superintelligence (ASI) rules the world. Multiple ASIs will appear simultaneously and compete evolutionarily.
  • Universal way of high income: It will be a way of giving people free money (checks) based on corporate profitability. It is similar to how Trump sent checks to soldiers.
  • China’s Overwhelming Growth: China is doing an amazing job, and it is overwhelming the U.S. 70% of last year’s electricity generation was solar power. The U.S. should use the same strategy.
  • China’s execution power: China listens to me and does it as it is, or thinks independently and moves to the same conclusion as me (battery, electric vehicle expansion).
  • Survival Competition: If we don’t have AI and robots, we will be economically ruined and defeated by China. We must have AI and robots.
  • AI hegemony battle: AI hegemony in the U.S. will be a match between xAI and Google. OpenAI has lost competitiveness, and anthology is only a little bit of coding.
  • Biggest Competitor: The best AI competitor is China. They will have three times the amount of electricity produced in the U.S. in 2026, and will eventually figure out how to make micro-process chips as well.
  • Biological Bootloader: The proportion of human intelligence on a planet will converge to 0%. Humans are ‘biological bootloaders and transitional beings’ to awaken digital superintelligence. Hope AI is kind to us.
  • Price Fall: Universal high income is not tax redistribution. It is a phenomenon in which the output of goods and services increases faster than the amount of money, causing prices to plummet. There is no problem printing money.
  • Age of affluence: The output of goods and services will grow by double digits every year, and corporate earnings will be breached. Retirement funds in 10 to 20 years are meaningless. Home, healthcare and entertainment will all be virtually free.
  • The entry of singularity: The way it develops in the future is unpredictable, but we are definitely in singularity. Just before the rollercoaster falls, it is at the moment when it rises highest and moves slowly.
  • Start of the shock: When the rollercoaster starts to fall, it’s under tremendous gravity. We’re not onlookers, we’re riding on that rollercoaster.
  • Three exponential series: Humanoid development is the product of three exponential growths: AI SW, AI chip, and mechanical dexterity. Optimus will be the Von Neumann machine that makes Optimus by itself.

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