I did a technical analysis once because many people were wondering if Tempus AI shares in the U.S. are currently valued or have potential to rise in the future.
I was introduced to this company in the United States in 2019.

Tempus AI currently has a market capitalization of $16 billion, so we looked at what needs to be done to reach $30 billion, a little less than double.

To Reach $30 Billion Market Cap For Tempus AI?

The goal is as follows

• Target market cap of $30 billion → stock price of approximately $173 (assuming 1.734 billion shares in circulation)
• PER Perspective:
  · PER 35X → EPS of $4.9 ($8.6 billion net income)
  · PER 30X → EPS of $5.8 (net income of $1.0 billion)
  · PER 25X → EPS of $6.9 (net income of $1.2 billion)
• EV/Sales Perspective (assuming net debt of $510 million): Approximately $30.5 billion needed for EV
  
  · 10X → Revenue to reach $3.05 billion
  · 8X → $3.8 billion
  · Six times → $5.1 billion

3 realistic roadmaps (example 2028)
A. Lead Data/AI Mix (Software Narrative)

• Revenue of $3.8 billion, net profit ratio of 20%, near 35 times PER → Market cap close to $30 billion
• Points: Gumajin Data/License Weight Increase, Settle Gross Margin 65%+

B. Diagnostic-focused high growth (traditional diagnostic comp multiplexes)

• EV/Sales 8X EV/Sales Reach $3.8-$4.2 Billion in Sales
• To match 30x PER: Revenue of approximately $4.9 billion based on 12% net profit, or 18% net profit of approximately $3.2 billion

C. Cash Flow (DCF) Track

• Normal FCF of approximately $2.4 billion to support EV of $30.5 billion under steady-state WACC 11% and g 3% premise
• FCF Margin 15%-20% ($1.2 billion to $1.5 billion per year) needed to be visualized within 2-3 years after reaching FCF $800 billion to $1 billion in 2028

Assumptions Achieved $30 Billion Market Cap

1. Revenue Scale: 1.26 billion in 2025 → $3.8-5 billion in 2028 (47% to 60% annual growth)
2. Mix Transition: More data/services → 65%+ gross margin, maximizing sales leverage
3. Profitability: Net Profitability or FCF Margin 15-20% Visible
4. Multiple: 10 to 11x EV/Sales with enhanced software/platform narrative and 6 to 9x diagnostic focus
5. Financial structure/dilution management: Reducing net debt, minimizing stock compensation and capital increase

Tempus AI currently has three business models.

1. Genomics
2. Data and Services
3. AI Applications

By increasing the proportion of data/AI subscriptions, raising gross margin and net income to mid-to-middle-digits, and proving $38-5 billion in sales and 15%+ FCF margin in three years, it could realistically approach $30 billion in market capitalization.

I have no choice but to technically reverse the calculation because I can’t find data to estimate the future, but given Tempus AI’s business model and characteristics as a data platform, I think the above calculation is not very impossible.
It would be fun to watch their moves while taking a look at them once every quarter.